中國(guó)剛剛完成了28納米光刻機(jī)的研發(fā)，并且正在努力在沒有ASML或臺(tái)灣的情況下自主生產(chǎn)14納米芯片。如果中國(guó)不需要美國(guó)就能生產(chǎn)他們所需的一切，美國(guó)又怎么對(duì)中國(guó)進(jìn)行技術(shù)封鎖呢？

Firstly, the 28nm and the 14nm processes are both fully operable and domestically produced in China. And since this is demonstratively both mature, and capable technologies, the tense in the question needs to be changed…

首先，中國(guó)對(duì)于28納米和14納米工藝都已經(jīng)完全掌握并已在國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)。而且由于這兩種技術(shù)都已明顯成熟且產(chǎn)能強(qiáng)大，所以問(wèn)題中的時(shí)態(tài)需要改變...

From “Past Tense”

從“過(guò)去時(shí)”

“China has just finished the development”

“中國(guó)剛剛完成了開發(fā)”

To “Present Tense”

到“現(xiàn)在時(shí)”

“China is producing”

“中國(guó)正在生產(chǎn)”

As well as…

以及...

From “Effort Type”

從“努力類型”

“China is working on…”

“中國(guó)正在努力...”

To “Effort Type”

到“努力類型”

“China is producing”

“中國(guó)正在生產(chǎn)”

…
So the questioner is actually out-of-date on the actual situation. 14nm production levels were obtained in 2021. On a Chinese scale, this was “centuries ago”.

因此，提問(wèn)者對(duì)現(xiàn)實(shí)情況了解已經(jīng)過(guò)時(shí)了。14納米的生產(chǎn)水平是在2021年實(shí)現(xiàn)的。按照中國(guó)的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，這已經(jīng)是“幾個(gè)世紀(jì)前”的事了。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

China has been producing 14nm for some time now and the products are out there all over the world already. These are domestically produced chips.

中國(guó)已經(jīng)生產(chǎn)14納米芯片有一段時(shí)間了，這些產(chǎn)品已經(jīng)遍布全球。這些都是國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)的芯片。

In fact, China is RIGHT NOW producing 5nm chips.

事實(shí)上，中國(guó)現(xiàn)在正在生產(chǎn)5納米芯片。

…
Next will come the invariable questions about even smaller chip sizes.

接下來(lái)將不可避免地出現(xiàn)關(guān)于更小芯片尺寸的問(wèn)題。

Let me assure you that China is presently producing much, much smaller sized integrated chips in small batch processes. There are NUMEROUS efforts, using numerous and different technologies. Here’s a lix for the “Dimensity 9000”.

我向你保證，中國(guó)目前正在小批量生產(chǎn)尺寸小得多的集成芯片。有許多不同的技術(shù)正在被使用。這里有一個(gè)關(guān)于“天璣9000”的鏈接。

Dimensity reached a staggering 1007396 points in the running test, becoming the first mobile phone chip to break the million ceiling. Its performance is 35% better than Snapdragon 888, and it directly won ten global firsts. It is expected that major mobile phone manufacturers such as Samsung and xiaomi will carry this chip. Now, mobile phone manufacturers such as xiaomi and Honor have passed internal tests and are expected to be mass-produced and commercialized in the first quarter of next year.

天璣在運(yùn)行測(cè)試中達(dá)到了驚人的1007396分，成為第一個(gè)突破百萬(wàn)上限的手機(jī)芯片。其性能比驍龍888好35%，并直接贏得了十項(xiàng)全球第一。預(yù)計(jì)三星和小米等主要手機(jī)制造商將采用這款芯片?，F(xiàn)在，小米和榮耀等手機(jī)制造商已經(jīng)通過(guò)了內(nèi)部測(cè)試，預(yù)計(jì)將在明年第一季度大規(guī)模生產(chǎn)和商業(yè)化。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

And, there is not a damn thing that anyone can do about it.

而且，沒有人能阻止這個(gè)事情。

…
OK. So 4nm is firing up Pilot and (very soon) production operations.

好的。所以4納米正在啟動(dòng)試點(diǎn)和（很快）生產(chǎn)操作。

Now…

現(xiàn)在...

There’s now the 0.2nm that China is also firing up at the same time. Yup! 0.2nm.

現(xiàn)在還有0.2納米，中國(guó)也在同時(shí)啟動(dòng)。是的！0.2納米。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

Zero Point Two nm.

零點(diǎn)二納米。

Not 2nm. No.

不是2納米。不是。

0 . 2 nm

0.2納米

Holy Shit!

天哪！

The United States, and the West will NEVER be able to “catch up”.

美國(guó)和西方永遠(yuǎn)無(wú)法“追上”。

…
China is ALSO engaged in “game changing” and “mind boggling” technologies that perform complete “run arounds” of the Western “closed fist” technologies that the United States so earnestly desires to maintain its cloistered holds upon.

中國(guó)還在從事“改變游戲規(guī)則”和“令人難以置信”的技術(shù)，這些技術(shù)完全“繞過(guò)”了美國(guó)如此渴望維持其封閉控制的西方“緊握拳頭”的技術(shù)。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

Initial results are clear; China WILL Surpass the present “l(fā)oggerheads” maintained by the West in a fraction of a decade. Perhaps as early as 3 years.

初步結(jié)果表明；中國(guó)將在不到十年的時(shí)間里超越西方維持的“封鎖”?？赡茏钤缭?年內(nèi)。

And in so doing, will overcome production and quality hurdles by a factor of 10x (ten times) better than what the West currently possess. These are generational advancements.

通過(guò)這樣做，將克服生產(chǎn)和質(zhì)量障礙，比西方目前擁有的要好10倍（十倍）。這些是代際進(jìn)步。

…
But the question, of course, is not about China. If it was, the content would be about the product, the use, the technology and the access to that technology.

但問(wèn)題當(dāng)然不是關(guān)于中國(guó)的。如果是的話，內(nèi)容將是關(guān)于產(chǎn)品、使用、技術(shù)和獲取該技術(shù)的途徑。

The question is about the United States.

問(wèn)題是關(guān)于美國(guó)的。

What is it gonna do?

它將會(huì)怎么做？

…
Have you ever gone to a farm? Have you ever watched a bunch of chickens scurrying about in the fenced in chicken coop?

你去過(guò)農(nóng)場(chǎng)嗎？你看過(guò)一群雞在圍欄里的雞舍里忙碌嗎？

Yeah.

是的。

That’s the American “l(fā)eadership”.

那就是美國(guó)的“領(lǐng)導(dǎo)”。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

Lots of squawking.

大聲叫囂。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

Much strutting about, and pontification of all times with feigned anger and outrage. Sort of like the Tiktok hearings, eh.

到處?kù)乓?，裝模作樣地表達(dá)憤怒和憤慨。有點(diǎn)像Tiktok聽證會(huì)，對(duì)吧。

They’ll all be a running about. Making a lot of noise.

他們都會(huì)到處亂跑。制造很多噪音。

Picking and pecking at things. Any things.

挑剔和啄食東西。任何東西。

…
Clowns wearings suits and ties, acting more powerful than they really are, making pronouncements designed to impress a truly dumbed-down audience.

小丑們穿著西裝打著領(lǐng)帶，表現(xiàn)得比他們實(shí)際上更有力量，發(fā)表旨在給真正愚蠢的觀眾留下深刻印象的聲明。

Yup.

是的。

The Congress is gonna go “clown show” on us again.

國(guó)會(huì)又要在我們面前上演“小丑秀”了。

Start a banging on the table and then scream (behind closed doors) to its military “well… do something”.

開始在桌子上猛敲，然后對(duì)它的軍隊(duì)尖叫（在閉門背后）“好吧...做點(diǎn)什么”。

And that is exactly what China wants, and is hoping for.

這正是中國(guó)想要的，也是中國(guó)所希望的。

China is more than ready.

中國(guó)已經(jīng)做好了充分的準(zhǔn)備。

…
The USA already tried to shoot its wad and the world discovered that it's got bumpkis.

美國(guó)已經(jīng)嘗試過(guò)使用它的一切手段，然而世界發(fā)現(xiàn)它一無(wú)所有。

The Tanya Harding method of competition is not working, and will never work. You cannot excel in a competitive environment by attacking your rivals. You must best them by merit, skill, ability and endurance. Not by brute force and schemes.

塔尼婭·哈丁的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)方法不起作用，也永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)起作用。你不能通過(guò)攻擊你的對(duì)手在競(jìng)爭(zhēng)環(huán)境中脫穎而出。你必須憑借優(yōu)點(diǎn)、技能、能力和耐力勝過(guò)他們。而不是靠蠻力和計(jì)謀。

…
So what will the USA do?

那么美國(guó)會(huì)怎么做？

Well judging from the recent past, we can expect more of the same from an ignorant, uncreative, slothful and (obviously) jealous “l(fā)eadership”…

好吧，從最近的過(guò)去來(lái)看，我們可以預(yù)期一個(gè)無(wú)知、缺乏創(chuàng)造力、懶惰和（顯然）嫉妒的“領(lǐng)導(dǎo)”會(huì)做出更多相同的事情...
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

More banning of Chinese products to the West.
More sanctions on everything.
More tariffs.
More duties.
More restrictions.
More laws and rules and regulations.
More and more and more.

更多地禁止中國(guó)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)入西方。
對(duì)一切事物實(shí)施更多的制裁。
更多的關(guān)稅。
更多的稅收。
更多的限制。
更多的法律和規(guī)則和規(guī)定。
越來(lái)越多。

This crop of ignoramus losers running the United States “shit show” are so amazingly and astoundingly incompetent, that they don’t even nowhere the “brakes” are. It’s just “petal to the metal”. Full steam ahead.

這群管理美國(guó)“糟糕表演”的無(wú)知失敗者是如此令人驚訝和震驚的無(wú)能，以至于他們甚至不知道“剎車”在哪里。它只是“踩到底”。全速前進(jìn)。

WHAT A BUNCH OF LOSERS.

真是一群失敗者。

…
Already the United States is the laughing stock of the world.

美國(guó)已經(jīng)成為世界的笑柄。

Americans can only dream about having high speed like Laos has. But Americans will never get that kind of infrastructure.

美國(guó)人只能夢(mèng)想擁有像老撾那樣的高鐵。但美國(guó)人永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)得到那種基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施。

Ports and airports like Zambia has. But Americans will never get that kind of infrastructure.

像贊比亞那樣的港口和機(jī)場(chǎng)。但美國(guó)人永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)得到那種基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

Wireless connectivity like Nigeria has.

像尼日利亞那樣的無(wú)線連接。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

Roads like Bangladesh has.

像孟加拉國(guó)那樣的道路。

America has fallen so damn far behind that it is not just a joke. It is a travesty.

美國(guó)已經(jīng)落后得離譜，這不僅僅是個(gè)笑話。這是一場(chǎng)鬧劇。

…
So what is REALLY going to happen?

那么真正會(huì)發(fā)生什么呢？

Same-Oh. Same-Oh.

老樣子。老樣子。

And that is what is really gonna happen.

這就是真正會(huì)發(fā)生的事情。

Felix Su
The US is praying that divine intervention will occur.

美國(guó)正在祈禱會(huì)有神的介入。

The US has no prayers of stopping Chinese chip making.

美國(guó)沒有辦法阻止中國(guó)的芯片制造。

And it’s worse than what you think. The 28nm machine will go into mass production next year. The EUV machine is already being tested. China has the 3 core technologies needed to build one. Namely the EUV light source, the mirror system, and the stage.

情況比你想象的還要糟糕。28納米機(jī)器將在明年投入大規(guī)模生產(chǎn)。EUV機(jī)器已經(jīng)在測(cè)試中。中國(guó)擁有構(gòu)建它所需的3項(xiàng)核心技術(shù)。即EUV光源、反射鏡系統(tǒng)和平臺(tái)。

And China is also working on leap frogging the US on the next generation EUV machine. They are using a SSMB accelerator to generate high intensity EUV. Whereas ASML is trying to bump the lasers being used by 10 times the power.

而且中國(guó)還努力在下一代EUV機(jī)器上超越美國(guó)。他們正在使用SSMB加速器產(chǎn)生高強(qiáng)度的EUV。而ASML正在嘗試將使用的激光功率提高10倍。
原創(chuàng)翻譯：龍騰網(wǎng) http://www.top-shui.cn 轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處

This is going to be very very difficult to do. The machine also has to dissipate that power. The cooling is going to be a nightmare and the laser is going to be much larger than the previous machines.

這將是非常非常難做到的。機(jī)器還必須散發(fā)那種能量。冷卻它將是一場(chǎng)噩夢(mèng)，激光器將比以前的機(jī)器大得多。

But China no longer cares what ASML is working on. They’re doing their own solution. In the next 2 years you will see the Chinese test a domestic EUV machine. Then go to mass production.

但中國(guó)不再關(guān)心ASML在做什么。他們正在研發(fā)自己的解決方案。在接下來(lái)的2年內(nèi)，你將看到中國(guó)測(cè)試一臺(tái)國(guó)產(chǎn)的極紫外光（EUV）機(jī)器。然后進(jìn)入大規(guī)模生產(chǎn)。

In 4–5 years, the SSMB will be ready for installation into a production line for 3nm, 2nm, and maybe 1nm chips.

在4到5年內(nèi)，SSMB將準(zhǔn)備好安裝到3納米、2納米，甚至可能是1納米芯片的生產(chǎn)線上。