特朗普可能考慮對俄羅斯石油征收500%的關(guān)稅
Trump might consider 500% tariffs on Russian oil
譯文簡介
“毀滅性的制裁將從全球市場中撤出石油，進而對歐洲和美國消費者造成痛苦?！?
正文翻譯
“Devastating sanctions would take oil from the global market and that, in turn, would inflict pain on European and US consumers.”
Russian exports account for 10% of global oil production and any major ‘secondary sanctions’, threatened by Donald Trump last night on Truth Social, would severely impact prices in the West, says Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg senior writer and author of Punishing Putin.
“毀滅性的制裁將從全球市場中撤出石油，進而對歐洲和美國消費者造成痛苦?！?br /> 彭博社資深記者、《懲罰普京》一書的作者斯蒂芬妮·貝克爾表示，俄羅斯出口占全球石油產(chǎn)量的10%，特朗普昨晚在Truth Social上威脅的任何重大“次級制裁”將嚴重影響西方的油價。
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Being American in these times is very challenging for sure from the relative peace and stability that we have grown accustomed to, to the now daily chaotic country and weak leadership that we have in power now. My wife and I will be retiring in the next two months n another country too. We'll have to rely on my pension, and a very prolific lnvestment account with my Abby Joseph Cohen my FA. Retiring comfortably in the US these days is almost impossible
在這些時光里作為美國人確實非常具有挑戰(zhàn)性，從我們習慣的相對和平與穩(wěn)定，到現(xiàn)在每天都有的國家混亂和軟弱領(lǐng)導(dǎo)層。我和妻子將在兩個月內(nèi)退休，移居到另一個國家。我們將依賴我的養(yǎng)老金和與我的財務(wù)顧問Abby Joseph Cohen共同管理的一個非常豐厚的投資賬戶。如今在美國舒適退休幾乎是不可能的。
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The key word is "consider". Trump never actually does anything that his master would be angered by.
關(guān)鍵詞是“考慮”。特朗普從來不會做任何可能讓他的“主人”生氣的事情。
Has it really taken trump months to realize that Putin is stringing him along when we all knew from the start?
特朗普真的花了幾個月才意識到普京在戲弄他嗎？我們一開始就知道。
Trump “Write me an Executive Order that imposes a 500% tariff on Russia.”
White House team “Will do. When do you want to sign it?”
Trump “Sign what?”
特朗普：“給我寫一份行政命令，對俄羅斯征收500%的關(guān)稅?！?br /> 白宮團隊：“好的。您什么時候想簽署？”
特朗普：“簽什么？”
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"Might consider" means absolutely nothing unless acted upon, which Putin knows won't happen. Totally pathetic.
“可能考慮”根本沒有任何意義，除非付諸實踐，而普京知道這不會發(fā)生。真是太可悲了。
Lol. He'll consider it for a few mins until Putin says "don't do this" then trump will obey
哈哈。他會考慮幾分鐘，直到普京說“別這樣做”，然后特朗普就會聽從。
Yeah. And I'm considering being a trillionaire
是的，我也在考慮成為萬億富翁。
Another rare rebuke of Putin. Actual actions against Putin rarer still. Zero.
這是對普京的又一次罕見批評。對普京的實際行動更是稀有，零。
Glory to Ukraine
榮耀屬于烏克蘭。
Trump says lots of things. He also said that he only weighs 215 pounds.
特朗普說了很多話。他還說自己體重只有215磅。
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If you believe a single word Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin utter, you're simply beyond hope.
如果你相信唐納德·特朗普和弗拉基米爾·普京說的任何話，那你真的沒有希望了。
I think dementia trump forgot what happened by the time his plane landed lol
我覺得癡呆癥特朗普可能在飛機降落前就忘記發(fā)生了什么，哈哈。
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Trump upset with supervisor pretends he may do something.
特朗普生氣了，假裝他可能會做點什么。
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail." Trump's only tool (he thinks) is the tariff.
“如果你只有一把錘子，所有問題看起來都是釘子?！碧乩势照J為他唯一的工具就是關(guān)稅。
Anything over 100% tariffs is meaningless. 100% and over means most trade shuts down. I don't think Trump still got a grasp on who pays the tariffs.
任何超過100%的關(guān)稅都是無意義的。100%及以上意味著大多數(shù)貿(mào)易會停滯。我不認為特朗普還明白是誰在支付這些關(guān)稅。
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You know what's crazy? His supporters think he's strong. When in reality, the real countries (the ones that matter) look at Trump the same way people at Walmart look at a child that's being unruly. They just ignore the child and go about their business. If anything, you feel embarrassed for the parents (the country).
你知道最瘋狂的是什么嗎？他的支持者認為他很強大。但實際上，真正重要的國家（那些值得關(guān)注的國家）把特朗普看作是沃爾瑪里那些不聽話的孩子。他們只是忽略那個孩子，繼續(xù)做他們的事情。如果有的話，反而會為父母（這個國家）感到尷尬。
A 500% tariff would be no more effective than a 100% tariff. Trump is just spouting off numbers and concepts he doesn’t understand.
500%的關(guān)稅和100%的關(guān)稅沒有什么不同。特朗普只是胡亂說些他不理解的數(shù)字和概念。
USA could send the patriot air defence Zelenski asked and wanna pay!!!
美國可以派出澤連斯基請求的愛國者防空系統(tǒng)，愿意支付！
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Putin has Trump on a short leash. Trump won't do any such thing re Russian oil. Comrade Donald can't even focus until his next lunchtime Big Mac.
普京把特朗普控制得很緊。特朗普不會在俄羅斯石油問題上做出任何事情。特朗普同志甚至還沒法集中精力，直到下一個午餐時間的巨無霸。
So, what does this effect OPEC/OPECplus, Russia sells oil through the latter. If so, US really ought to stop the purchase of OPEC oil then consider further tariffs. Russia is very dependent on this organization selling oil.
那么，這對OPEC/OPEC+有什么影響呢？俄羅斯通過后者出售石油。如果是這樣，美國真的應(yīng)該停止購買OPEC的石油，然后考慮進一步的關(guān)稅。俄羅斯非常依賴這個組織來出售石油。
President Trump does not have to gamble. Just help Ukrainian military defeat dictator Putin.
特朗普總統(tǒng)不需要賭博。只需要幫助烏克蘭軍隊打敗DC者普京。
I am Russian, I live to Samara. Many in my country know this war is losed. Russia will become more poverty nation, Regions will be ,,shortchange" as alway makes happen.
我是俄羅斯人，我住在薩馬拉。我們國家的許多人知道這場戰(zhàn)爭已經(jīng)輸了。俄羅斯將變得更加貧窮，各地區(qū)將像往常一樣“短缺”。
Tomorrow hes going to say that it was 500 dollars per tanker.
明天他會說每個油輪是500美元。
I only believe it when it's enacted, so far it's just a suggestion to put on these secondary tariffs. And we all see how quickly Donald can change his attitude.
只有在實施的時候我才相信，至今這只是一個建議，關(guān)于征收這些附加關(guān)稅。我們都看到唐納德多快就能改變他的態(tài)度。
Please please impose 500% tariffs....Would love to see the actual outcome....study of 500% tariffs are not available...
請請請征收500%的關(guān)稅……我很想看看實際的結(jié)果……關(guān)于500%關(guān)稅的研究并不多……
But this would upset his fellow Russian oligarchs who buys property's from him in New York.
但這會惹惱他那些俄羅斯寡頭朋友，他們在紐約從他那里購買房產(chǎn)。
It’s crazy how much things have changed. Everything is getting more expensive rent, food, gas. It feels like no matter how much you make, it’s never enough. People are literally living in their cars or trying to go off-grid just to survive.
真瘋狂，事情變化得如此之快。租金、食品、油價都在漲。感覺無論賺多少，永遠都不夠。人們真的是住在車里，或者為了生存而試圖脫離電網(wǎng)。
Europe should do a similar thing. Basically giving Indian, Chinese and other countries' companies a choice: if you do business with Russia, you cannot do business with us. Losing European trade would cost them more than losing Russian trade, so the logical choice is obvious.
歐洲應(yīng)該做類似的事情?；旧辖o印度、中國和其他國家的公司一個選擇：如果你和俄羅斯做生意，就不能和我們做生意。失去歐洲的貿(mào)易將比失去俄羅斯的貿(mào)易更嚴重，因此顯而易見的理性選擇是這樣。
How can Trump tell other countries to put tariffs on Russian oil? It would hurt more to stop all oil transport by the shadow fleet of old, rusty tankers, a potential environmental catastrophe.
特朗普怎么能要求其他國家對俄羅斯石油征稅？停止所有油運，依靠那些老舊的生銹油輪的影子艦隊，會造成更大的傷害，可能還會引發(fā)環(huán)境災(zāi)難。
moscow don will not do any thing to putin that's a fact
莫斯科的唐納德不會對普京做任何事，這是事實。
Should have done that 3 years ago.
三年前就該這么做了。
Trump for once since you been the appointed , Please do the Honourable thing for the victims in Ukraine!
特朗普，既然你已經(jīng)被任命了，請為烏克蘭的受害者做出應(yīng)有的決定！
Why even buy Russian anything at this point?
現(xiàn)在為什么還要買俄羅斯的東西？
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"It makes me think he doesn't wanna stop the war and is stringing me along" awww man Donald everyone but everyone knew that except you. This guy never stops entertaining
“這讓我覺得他不想停戰(zhàn)，只是在拖延我?！?哎呀，唐納德，除了你，大家都知道這一點。這個人永遠不停止娛樂我們。
500% tariff is just an embargo. Why doesn't Trump just call it that?
500%的關(guān)稅其實就是封鎖。為什么特朗普不直接稱其為封鎖呢？
He's only just worked that out?? What a genius.
他才剛剛意識到這一點？？真是個天才。
Hey look an actual good use of tariffs.
看，這才是關(guān)稅的實際好用方式。
Stable genius at work right there.
穩(wěn)定的天才正在發(fā)揮作用。
If you announce then looks like it's just hot air
如果宣布了，那看起來就像是空洞的言辭。
If the US is still buying tariffable products from the Russian you need to stop. What is the matter with you.
Russia started a war against democracy and you are still trading with them. Maybe Russia is the only country still willing to trade with you. For the good of the planet you need to STOP that immediately.
如果美國還在從俄羅斯購買征稅產(chǎn)品，你們應(yīng)該停止。你們到底怎么了？俄羅斯發(fā)動了對民主的戰(zhàn)爭，而你們還在和他們做生意。也許俄羅斯是唯一一個還愿意和你們做生意的國家。為了地球的未來，你們必須立即停止。
All this just shows that he is still definitively Donald Jessica Trump. He brainlessly adopts the view of the last person he talked to (Volodymyr Zelenskyy) and he judges people based on the childish logic of 'Do they like Trump'? and Mr. Zelenskyy was kind of enough to talk to him when everyone else at the party (papal funeral) was snubbing him.
這一切都表明他仍然是唐納德·杰西卡·特朗普。他毫無思考地接受了他最后一個談話對象（弗洛基米爾·澤連斯基）的觀點，并根據(jù)“他們喜不喜歡特朗普”這種幼稚的邏輯來判斷人。澤連斯基先生在其他所有人都在冷落他的時候（教皇葬禮）還愿意和他交談，真是夠?qū)捜莸摹?/b>
Why does TR never ask what more Europe can do? Like releasing Russian assets to Ukraine.
為什么特朗普從不問歐洲還能做些什么？比如將俄羅斯資產(chǎn)釋放給烏克蘭。
I wonder how serious they will be in tracking Russia's dark fleet?
我想知道他們在追蹤俄羅斯的“黑色艦隊”時會有多認真？
I don't understand why the good people of Russia rise up against Putin.
我不明白為什么俄羅斯的好人民不起來反抗普京。
But the USA is Not importing Any oil from Russia
但美國并沒有從俄羅斯進口任何石油。
i cant believe Trump is a dumb as he makes out
我簡直不敢相信特朗普竟然有他表現(xiàn)出來的那么笨。
500% US tariffs on Russian oil only work if America at this point is still buying Russian oil. Is America still actually buying Russian oil?!
美國對俄羅斯石油征收500%的關(guān)稅，只有在美國此時仍在購買俄羅斯石油的情況下才有效。美國現(xiàn)在還在買俄羅斯石油嗎？
Why, if Russia is not supplying the USA with oil anyway?
為什么？如果俄羅斯根本沒有向美國供應(yīng)石油呢？
Stopping the munitions used by Putin shipped from North Korean port of Rajin to the Russian port of Vostochny would STOP THIS WAR .
Ships identified as the Angara, the Maria, the Maia-1 and the Lady R.
Ref: 16,000 containers munitions from north korea to russia (reuters , espreso , marine insight et al)
如果能阻止從朝鮮羅津港運往俄羅斯遠東港口的軍火，就能停止這場戰(zhàn)爭。船只包括安加拉號、瑪麗亞號、瑪婭-1號和Lady R號。
參考：從朝鮮到俄羅斯的16,000個集裝箱軍火（路透社、Espreso、Marine Insight等）
Trump is going to win the Mara Lago Medal of Freedom
特朗普將獲得瑪拉戈自由獎勛章。
Additional 500% import duties on iPhone's . Why should China and India subsidise the American consumers?
對iPhone征收額外的500%進口稅。為什么中國和印度要為美國消費者補貼？
Ooh but he wants Trump Tower Moscow so badly.
哦，但他非常想要莫斯科的特朗普大廈。
Une simple remarque , les plus grandes puissance militaire sont toutes très gravement endettées . Quand l'argent va à outrance pour les armes, il n'en reste plus assez pour le confort du peuple .
一個簡單的評論，世界上最強大的軍事大國都背負著巨額債務(wù)。當錢都花在武器上時，人民的福祉就沒有足夠的資金了。
500%? Meaning what exactly? Tariffs failed with China and Russia is tariffed or terrified anyway
500%？這到底是什么意思？關(guān)稅在中國失敗了，俄羅斯反正也被加征關(guān)稅或嚇到了
Short of getting into it directly , you got to make them pay for their actions. Lives don't equate to money . But , using it as a tool to prune the enablers is a start.
雖然不直接參與，但你得讓他們?yōu)樽约旱男袨楦冻龃鷥r。生命無法與金錢等同，但將金錢作為工具來削弱支持者是一個開始。
The situation is tense, let’s see how the parties react.
局勢緊張，我們看看各方如何反應(yīng)。
I need a moment to process this.
我需要一點時間來消化這個。
“Might” and “consider?” In other words, it’s all pie in the sky at this point
“可能”和“考慮”？換句話說，現(xiàn)在的一切都只是空談。
America had SUPERMAN BATMAN AMD NOW AMERICA HAS A MADMAN WHO IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY
美國曾有超人蝙蝠俠，現(xiàn)在美國有個瘋子在執(zhí)政。
Tariffs are a threat that can only be used once. You can't use tariffs like a sledge hammer and expect the same results with each consecutive blow. It follows the law of diminishing returns.
關(guān)稅是一種只能用一次的威脅。你不能像用大錘一樣不斷使用關(guān)稅，并期望每次打下去都有相同的結(jié)果。這遵循遞減收益法則。
Tariffs on Russian oil, dufus tell that "negotiation" team to walk away from the Boeing talks
對俄羅斯石油征收關(guān)稅，傻瓜，告訴那個“談判”團隊走開，不要再談波音的事了。
How can you put tariff on a country that you don’t buy gas?
怎么能對一個你不買石油的國家加關(guān)稅？
Can the American population afford 500% tariffs? Aren’t they paying enough already? Or is it just that the US doesn’t buy much from Russia anyway. Looking tough but innocents means nothing.
美國人民能承擔500%的關(guān)稅嗎？他們不是已經(jīng)在付很多了嗎？還是說美國反正從俄羅斯購買的東西不多？看起來很強硬，但無辜者無關(guān)緊要。
Is the US actually buying Russian oil? If so, why? The US actually EXPORTS oil at this point. Most to be refined however due to limited US refining capacity.
美國真的在購買俄羅斯石油嗎？如果是，為什么？現(xiàn)在美國實際上已經(jīng)在出口石油了。大部分是需要精煉的，因為美國的精煉能力有限。
Why tariffs instead of sanctions?
為什么要征收關(guān)稅，而不是實施制裁？
Yes 500% FOR RUSSIAN OIL BUT JUST IF OTHER COUNTRYS BUYS IT, IF US BUYS 0 % TARIFFS
是的，針對俄羅斯石油征收500%的關(guān)稅，但前提是其他國家購買。如果美國不購買，就不征收關(guān)稅。
That's no way to treat your friends
這不是對待朋友的方式。
He aint gonna do that, he's scared that old Vlad will release the videos.
他不會那樣做的，他害怕老弗拉德會發(fā)布那些視頻。
INFLATION DOWN MORTGAGE RATES DOWN GAS DOWN AIRFARE DOWN EGGS DOWN GROCERIES DOWN JOBS UP APPROVAL UP AND ALL THE TDS HAS LEFT TO CLING ONTO ARE FAKE POLL NUMBERS ROTFLM
通貨膨脹下降，抵押貸款利率下降，油價下降，機票下降，雞蛋下降，雜貨價格下降，就業(yè)增加，支持率上升，而所有那些反特朗普的支持者只剩下虛假的民調(diào)數(shù)字，笑死我了。
Please one million percent of tariff!! It will punish the American people!! And orange man will be impeached immediately
請征收一百萬%的關(guān)稅?。∵@會懲罰美國人民??！然后特朗普會立即被彈劾。
If China and India buy oil from Putin, who should charge tariffs? and who's going to get the tariffs money?
如果中國和印度從普京那里購買石油，應(yīng)該由誰來征收關(guān)稅？征收的關(guān)稅錢會到誰手里？
Well......he also said he would "arm Ukraine to the teeth" if Russia didn't get to the table in meaningful talks. If he would do that the Ukrainians would be able to push Russia out of the eastern Oblasts. Crimea is (I think) a more of an area that would have to be done diplomatically.
嗯……他還說如果俄羅斯不參與有意義的談判，他會“武裝烏克蘭到牙齒”。如果他真的這么做，烏克蘭人就能把俄羅斯趕出東部地區(qū)。我認為克里米亞更多的是需要通過外交手段解決的地方。
Would be better if it was 503.47324%. 500% is just too generous.
如果是503.47324%就好了，500%太慷慨了。
LOL@ the thought Trump would put a 500% tariff on Russian oil.
That's not happening.
笑死我了，居然有人認為特朗普會對俄羅斯石油征收500%的關(guān)稅。那是不可能發(fā)生的。
If he does it. Thats always been the trouble of flip flop man.
如果他真這么做，那一直以來的問題就是“變來變?nèi)ァ钡娜恕?/b>
The US doesn't even buy oil from Russia
美國根本就不從俄羅斯購買石油。
Russia has to be dealt with harshly
俄羅斯必須被嚴厲對待。
It's only words! How about tangible action? Tariff might be a beautiful word, but it doesn't stop a missile or drone attack!
這只是空話！怎么能有實際行動呢？關(guān)稅可能是一個美麗的詞，但它無法阻止導(dǎo)彈或無人機攻擊！
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Of course he will, since the current tariff plan is working sooo well for him.
當然，他會這么做，因為現(xiàn)在的關(guān)稅計劃對他來說效果非常好。
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The U.S. doesn’t buy Russian oil.
美國根本不購買俄羅斯的石油。
How about 10,000% tariff on China? Trump, be really brazen!
那對中國征收10,000%的關(guān)稅怎么樣？特朗普，真大膽！
If anything Trump will lift sanctions not make it harder for Russia
如果有什么的話，特朗普會解除制裁，而不是讓俄羅斯更難。
Arguing or spectualating any proper response to anything related to Trump is a total waste of time.
爭論或猜測任何與特朗普相關(guān)的回應(yīng)完全是浪費時間。
Russian asset "KRASNOV" (circa 1987) has proven to be the greatest investment of Russian military/intelligence funds ever made. "....without firing a shot".
俄羅斯資產(chǎn)“KRASNOV”（大約1987年）被證明是俄羅斯軍事/情報資金有史以來最偉大的投資?！啊瓫]有開一槍”。
Sounds like an excuse to tariff more countries for no gain. Wouldn’t this push India towards China? Also, how much Russian oil does Germany receive?
聽起來像是為了沒有收獲而對更多國家征收關(guān)稅的借口。這樣不會把印度推向中國嗎？另外，德國從俄羅斯進口多少石油？
...I hope India moves away from the west, nothing good will ever come out of being a vassal state. Why do you think they demonised Germany ? Same game.
……我希望印度遠離西方，做一個附庸國永遠不會有好結(jié)果。你為什么認為他們妖魔化德國？同樣的游戲。
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Amen Lord Jesus God Almighty Blessing to President Trump please we beg you to stop Putin from destroying Ukraine People used your good Office God bless you
阿門，主耶穌全能的上帝，保佑特朗普總統(tǒng)，我們懇求您阻止普京摧毀烏克蘭人民，感謝您使用您的美好職位，愿上帝保佑您。
Definitely no chance of a 500% tariff secondary sanction policy on India and China backfiring.
完全沒有可能500%的關(guān)稅次級制裁政策會在印度和中國身上適得其反。
I thougght Trump and is all admin was more economically inteligent and specially on this war issue in fact he realy is a russian agent acting on behalf of Putin′s war interest because so far is actions only reflect that approach.
我曾以為特朗普和他的整個政府在經(jīng)濟方面更聰明，特別是在戰(zhàn)爭問題上，實際上他真的是一個俄羅斯代理人，代表普京的戰(zhàn)爭利益，因為到目前為止他的行動只反映了這種做法。
We don’t receive oil from Russia
我們不從俄羅斯接收石油。
The analysis is too one sided and over simplified. At least my take on this is that the USA would basically stop trading with China, India and the EU in one swoop if they put a 500% tariff on countries buying Russian fossil fuels. Sort of makes BRICS the only alternative for the world then, and what would that mean long-term for the USA. We all know this is a red-herring. Agent Orange will never stand up to Putin.
這個分析過于片面且過于簡化。至少我認為，如果美國對購買俄羅斯化石燃料的國家實施500%的關(guān)稅，那么美國實際上會一舉停止與中國、印度和歐盟的貿(mào)易。這樣一來，BRICS（金磚國家）就成了全球唯一的替代選擇，那么這對美國的長期影響會是什么呢？我們都知道這是一個紅鯡魚。特朗普永遠不會站出來反對普京。
看起來美國（以及歐洲）總是很容易告訴印度該做什么不該做什么。這并不是什么新鮮事。這些政策已經(jīng)讓印度“沒有清潔能源”達50年之久。我指的是核能，特此澄清。
根據(jù)CREA（能源與清潔空氣研究中心）的數(shù)據(jù)，自2022年俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭以來，27個歐盟國家已從俄羅斯進口價值約2050億美元的化石燃料。在同一時期，印度進口了大約1300億美元的化石燃料。再看一下這些數(shù)字，再想一想人均數(shù)量。印度從俄羅斯的進口增長是由于俄羅斯制裁后提供的低價格。印度當然更愿意從多個地方購買石油，但這也在以各種方式“被制裁”。更復(fù)雜的是，其中一部分俄羅斯原油在印度被精煉后，以各種產(chǎn)品形式出售給歐盟。
提議的500%關(guān)稅原則上意味著與歐盟和印度的貿(mào)易將完全停止，而中國呢，你還在擔心你的iPhone嗎？拜托，我們要嚴肅點。
我寧愿看到世界花錢尋找方法來捕捉甲烷，因為甲烷正在地表下冒泡，并將在地球變暖和永久凍土融化的過程中釋放到大氣中，無論你是否認為全球變暖是由人類活動引起的，這一現(xiàn)象都在發(fā)生。如果我們能夠捕捉到它，至少可以在釋放排放之前，先做一些技術(shù)工作（電力、機械工作和熱能）。